Smart forecast predicts Snowfall in October as filly set to return to winning ways

English, Irish and Yorkshire Oaks winner seeks fourth Group 1 of the season at British Champions Day

Saturday, October 16, 2021
Snowfall Curragh Oaks

Snowfall looked unstoppable earlier this year, winning the Irish Oaks at the Curragh

They say you shouldn't follow trends, you should start them, but when your sport is obsessed by headlines - and trend lines - it not necessarily that easy, writes James Toney.

However, Aidan O'Brien believes Snowfall can bounce back to winning ways at Qipco British Champions Day, just 13 days after her sixth place in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe.

In the ten year history of British flat racing's showpiece finale, only 18 horses have run at Longchamp and Ascot - 12 of them from O'Brien's Ballydoyle operation.

However, just three have managed to back up a Paris run with a win in Britain's richest race day, the brilliant Magical doing it in consecutive years.

Snowfall's two-year old season didn't promise much but her record breaking 16 length win in the Oaks was followed by another Classic at the Curragh and a third Group 1 at York, the accumulative winning margin across the three race a thumping 28 lengths.

Two defeats followed in France to scar what promised to be a perfect season but surely she has the class to land the Fillies & Mares Stakes, on paper her opposition surely not in the same class.
"I was pleased with her run in Paris but the ground was just too soft and there just wasn't enough pace in the race," said O'Brien, in a slight contradiction to pre-race comments his filly was ' ground-versatile'.

"She's been in good form since the Arc and she'll really like this good to soft ground at Ascot."

O'Brien fields another Classic winner in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes but ever consistent 1000 Guineas star Mother Earth looks to have a stiff task against some of the best male milers in the business, headed by Palace Pier, who could move to the head of the Longines world rankings with a win.

And he's got just one bullet in the Champions Stakes, the withdrawal of Love meaning Bolshoi Ballet flies the Ballydoyle flag, with Jim Bolger's Mac Swiney a long-shot in a high-quality field.

The opening Long Distance Cup - won six times in ten years by Irish trainers - seems a showdown between defending champion Trueshan and three-time Gold Cup winner Stradivarius but Joseph O'Brien's Baron Samedi looks a strong raider after an eye-catching third place in the Irish St Leger, a first run in ten months.

Snowfall has been in good form since the Arc and she'll really like this good to soft ground at Ascot.
- Aidan O'Brien 

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